Latest News
Iran, Beware the Fangs of January, the Scourge of February, and the Ides of March
Iran, Beware the Fangs of January, the Scourge of February, and the Ides of March
By Hassan Gimba (1)
The Arbiter
A few days ago, I woke in the night, anxious and checking the news, half-expecting America and Israel to have attacked Iran.
Given this tension, the central issue is the longstanding American-Israeli effort to destabilize Iran. Even though it cannot be exhausted in one article, I’d like you to come along as we look over the underlying hostility, the motives behind American and Israeli actions, and why both countries believe only a fractured, weakened Iran will serve their interests.
Talk of de-escalation and the apparent lowering of tensions is largely superficial. America—the dog—and Israel—the tail that wags it—will never rest until they see a Balkanized Iran; regime change to install a malleable monarchy is just a ruse. It’s the first step to Iran’s destruction, but first, the people must be tricked into thinking they will have a new government.
The tag team of Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu will not be satisfied with merely installing a malleable regime, because they represent a concept whose custodians plan in decades and think in centuries. As long as Iran remains intact, a future “antagonistic” government could replace their pliable proxy—and that is unacceptable to them. What they aspire to is a shattered Iran, fragmented and at odds with itself.
America wants to neutralize Iran in order to limit China’s growing influence and weaken Russia. Iran currently acts as a buffer and supplies vital energy resources to China. For Israel, Iran obstructs its ambition for a so-called “Greater Israel.” Aware of Iran’s strength and resilience, Netanyahu has worked relentlessly to push America into confronting Iran on his country’s behalf.
China now sources almost all its oil from Iran, with Venezuela no longer a viable alternative. Should America succeed in cutting off Iran’s crude oil exports to China, the Land of the Dragon would lose a critical fuel supply that sustains its economy. Without it, China’s economic stability could face significant threats.
For these reasons, America and Israel—long-time Siamese twins with converging interests—have kept Iran in their sights. During the recent periods of unrest, Iran accused the CIA and Mossad of fomenting it, and both countries reportedly contemplated military action “to save Iranians” with the protests as an excuse. Following events in Venezuela involving Nicolás Maduro, Trump even considered a “limited” and “targeted” strike on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Although he publicly declared America to be “locked and loaded,” several factors restrained his actions.
One such factor was Iran’s disruption of internet services and the jamming of Elon Musk’s Starlink system, rendering GPS unreliable. The absence of satellite navigation and insider support could hinder the effective operation of American and Israeli aircraft and missiles, making them susceptible to easy neutralisation.
Another deterrent was Iran’s acquisition of advanced weaponry from China and Russia, as well as the testing of its own Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM). This proved Iran could hit back, raising the risk of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD), recalling the Cold War.
There was also palpable fear in Tel Aviv. After Iranian missiles inflicted significant damage during the 12-day conflict last June, Netanyahu’s aircraft—the Wing of Zion—was reportedly flown to Crete, Greece, with some commentators suggesting he was on board. Israel was unprepared for a direct military confrontation with Iran, goading America, instead, into it. Instead, it favored indirect tactics, including fomenting internal unrest.
Reports indicate that most Gulf states, with the exception of the UAE, informed America that they would not permit the use of their bases for an attack on Iran. Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, also urged Trump to avoid military action.
These factors collectively compelled Trump to pause. Initially, he remarked that “they have stopped shooting people,” later adding that “they have stopped the killing of about 800 people,” the majority of whom were reportedly American and Israeli operatives.
Still, Iran must punish lawbreakers according to its laws—just as America, Israel, and all sovereign nations committed to the rule of law do. Failing to act would only embolden the saboteurs and invite other unpatriotic citizens to commit more destabilizing acts.
History is replete with examples of nations weakened by impunity. In Nigeria, people often forgive or even treat Boko Haram members and bandits better than their victims. Perpetrators are “rehabilitated,” while those who lost homes and loved ones are rarely compensated.
That is the civilian reality. Imagine the fate of soldiers, police, and security agents. I remember a harrowing video of a woman in Maiduguri, Borno State, accused—despite her denials—of being a DSS agent, brutally beheaded by Boko Haram. It was devastating.
But to appreciate the long-term planning of the concept the duo of Trump and Netanyahu represent, consider the recent “escape” of about 3,000 ISIS detainees from prisons run by American-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in Syria and America’s reported attempt to relocate another 7,000 ISIS prisoners to Iraq, which borders Iran. This could be interpreted as laying the groundwork for a future proxy force to destabilize Iran and push for regime change or fragmentation.
Meanwhile, Trump, who claimed he wanted to help Iranians, recently warned that he would destroy the people if anything happened to him. He remarked, “If anything happens, they’re going to wipe [Iran] off the face of the earth,” and “I’ve left a notification for that.”
Neither Trump nor his ally, Netanyahu, backed down due to a desire for peace. Trump still wants to strike Iran because it is what Netanyahu seeks. Military action remains firmly on the table. They may not have been ready before, but preparations are clearly underway. US carrier groups, fighter jets, and command units—what Trump called “the Armada”—are moving closer, assembling enough firepower for air, sea, cyber, and special-forces operations designed to prevent Iran from mounting an adequate response. However, it could also be a show of force meant to intimidate Iran not to pass judgement on the 800 arrested agents.
However, US activist Calla Walsh captured their mindset succinctly when she said, “Israel (and America) doesn’t need you to like Israel; it only needs you to support them in destroying Iran.”
Others echo this warning, urging the Persians to remain vigilant, as these Siamese twin warmongers appear eager to strike—whether through the fangs of January, the scourge of February, or, at the latest, the ides of March.
Beyond open warfare, covert operations and crushing sanctions aimed to make Iranians suffer economically and so rise against their government; they want to isolate Iran globally. However, despite repeated provocations from both parties urging Iran to fire the first salvo, Iran has resisted taking the bait, remaining consistent with its policy of avoiding war. Yet its leaders have vowed to retaliate decisively if attacked.
The Foreign Ministry stated that Iran is prepared to respond “with everything we have.” President Masoud Pezeshkian warned on X that any American attack would provoke a “severe and regret-inducing” response. Yahya Rahim Safavi, adviser to Imam Khamenei, declared, “We are preparing for the final battle with Israel,” stressing that “we are in a war phase” with no ceasefire or agreements in place.
Major General Mohammad Pakpour, head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), reinforced the point Thursday, saying Iranian forces “have their hands on the trigger” and warned against miscalculation, citing lessons from June.
Next, we will examine the choices available for both sides and how a military confrontation might unfold. It is worth noting that Israel reportedly contemplated the use of nuclear weapons in its last war with Iran—a doctrine known as the Samson Option. Should such an incident occur, Israel would become only the second nation, after the United States in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945, to deploy atomic weapons in warfare.
Lest I Forget
What is wrong with our politicians that they almost always fail the test of trust, or ‘amana,’ in Hausa? People who were literally licking the feet of governors turn against them the moment the governors elevate them to that seat.
God willing, we will examine how Governor Mai Mala Buni of Yobe State and Vice President Kashim Shettima are exceptional in maintaining trust and remaining loyal to their predecessors.
Hassan Gimba is the publisher and CEO of Neptune Prime.
Latest News
NDLEA Secures Landmark Conviction of Foreign Crew, Vessel Over Cocaine Smuggling
NDLEA Secures Landmark Conviction of Foreign Crew, Vessel Over Cocaine Smuggling
By Haruna Aliyu
The National Drug Law Enforcement Agency (NDLEA) has recorded a major breakthrough in its fight against drug trafficking, securing the conviction of 10 Filipino sailors alongside their vessel, MV Nord Bosporus, for smuggling 20 kilograms of cocaine into Nigeria.
Details of the development were disclosed in Abuja on Wednesday by the agency’s Director of Media and Advocacy, Mr Femi Babafemi, who confirmed that the court also imposed heavy financial penalties totalling six million dollars and an additional N1.1 million.
According to the agency, the illegal shipment was intercepted at the Apapa Seaport after operatives uncovered the narcotics carefully hidden within the cargo of the vessel, which had arrived from Santos, Brazil. The arrest of the crew and the ship took place on November 16, 2025, following a successful intelligence-led operation.
Reacting to the court ruling, the Chairman of NDLEA, retired Brigadier-General Buba Marwa, described the outcome as a strong affirmation of Nigeria’s commitment to enforcing its drug laws and protecting its borders from criminal networks.
He stressed that the judgement sends a clear warning to international traffickers that Nigeria’s maritime domain is no longer a safe route for illicit drug operations. Marwa noted that the hefty fine should serve as a deterrent to global drug syndicates and their collaborators.
The NDLEA’s boss further warned shipping companies and maritime operators against complicity in drug trafficking, emphasising that offenders risk losing both their liberty and valuable assets.
He highlighted that the agency is now intensifying efforts not only to seize illegal substances but also to dismantle the financial structures that sustain drug cartels.
Marwa also praised officers of the NDLEA Apapa Strategic Command for their vigilance and professionalism in detecting the concealed drugs. He added that the success builds on previous convictions, including that involving MV Chayanee Naree, demonstrating the effectiveness of the agency’s sustained enforcement strategy.
The chairman equally commended the Directorate of Prosecution and Legal Services for diligently handling the case, as well as the judiciary for ensuring a speedy trial.
Reaffirming the agency’s commitment, Marwa said the fight against drug trafficking remains critical to safeguarding Nigeria’s youth and strengthening national security, adding that ongoing improvements in intelligence gathering and technology would further boost operations.
Latest News
Adamawa Targets One Million Children in Major Immunisation Drive Amid Disease Concerns
Adamawa Targets One Million Children in Major Immunisation Drive Amid Disease Concerns
By Jamila Muhammed
The Adamawa State Government has unveiled plans to vaccinate at least one million children between the ages of zero and 59 months in an upcoming statewide immunisation campaign aimed at curbing preventable diseases.
Deputy Governor Prof. Kaletapwa Farauta made the announcement known on Tuesday during the first quarter meeting of the State Task Force on Primary Health Care held in Yola. She explained that the gathering assessed the state’s readiness and reinforced collaboration among stakeholders ahead of key health interventions.
Farauta applauded development partners and health sector contributors for their continued backing of primary healthcare services. She reaffirmed the administration’s resolve to strengthen healthcare delivery and protect the well-being of residents.
She highlighted that the Sub-National Immunisation Plus Days (SNIPDs), scheduled for March 28, would play a critical role in boosting child health across the state. According to her, the exercise became imperative following reports of circulating variant poliovirus type 2 (cVPV2) in Gombi Local Government Area and nearby regions.
The deputy governor called on parents, carers, and community leaders to ensure that all eligible children are presented for vaccination, stressing that community participation is vital to the success of the campaign.
Farauta also raised alarm over a confirmed meningitis case in the Maiha Local Government Area, urging swift and coordinated health responses to contain any potential outbreak.
She also mentioned that plans are being made to start the Seasonal Malaria Chemoprevention (SMC) programme and distribute Long-Lasting Insecticide-Treated Nets (LLINs) in certain communities. The initiative is expected to commence in June 2026.
She further emphasised the importance of strengthening emergency preparedness measures, particularly as the rainy season approaches, to minimise the impact of flooding across vulnerable areas.
Meanwhile, the Commissioner for Health and Human Services, Mr. Felix Tangwami, and the Executive Chairman of the Primary Health Care Development Agency, Dr. Suleiman Bashir, noted that the meeting reviewed ongoing health programs, assessed coverage levels, identified challenges, and mapped out strategies to improve service delivery across the state.
Latest News
Northeast Under Renewed Siege as Insurgent and Bandit Attacks Threaten Fragile Peace
Northeast Under Renewed Siege as Insurgent and Bandit Attacks Threaten Fragile Peace
Fresh violence across Borno, Yobe and Bauchi is displacing communities again while neighbouring states struggle to cope with humanitarian pressure.
By Auwal Ahmad Umar
Across the Northeast, the fragile calm that followed years of insurgency is once again under strain.
In farming villages scattered across Borno, Yobe and Bauchi states, residents who only recently began rebuilding homes destroyed by violence are now fleeing gunfire and uncertainty.
From insurgent raids in Borno to bandit attacks in parts of Bauchi, a pattern of insecurity has re-emerged that security analysts say reflects a troubling evolution of violence across the region.
For communities that endured more than a decade of conflict, the resurgence of attacks has revived painful memories and deepened fears that the region’s recovery remains fragile.
“People thought the attacks had reduced,” said Bukar Madu, a farmer from northern Borno who recently fled his village after gunmen stormed the area.
“When the shooting started, everyone ran into the bush. Families left their houses without carrying anything.”
For many residents, the renewed insecurity represents not just a return to violence but also a threat to livelihoods, food production and community stability.
A Region Still Recovering From a Long War
Nigeria’s Northeast has endured one of the most destructive security crises in the country’s history.
Since the insurgency began more than a decade ago, thousands of lives have been lost and millions of people have been forced to flee their homes.
Entire communities were destroyed, as militant groups targeted villages, markets, schools, and government facilities.
At the height of the conflict, large parts of the Borno, Yobe, and Adamawa states were under the control of insurgent groups.
Nigeria and its neighbouring countries experienced the displacement of millions of residents.
Although sustained military operations eventually reclaimed several towns and weakened insurgent networks, the conflict did not disappear.
Instead, armed groups adjusted their strategies.
Rather than occupying territory, militants began relying on hit-and-run attacks, ambushes and raids in remote communities.
This shift made insurgency less visible in major towns but continued to endanger rural populations.
Security experts say this evolution explains why attacks can still occur even after years of counter-insurgency operations.
Borno: Communities on the Frontline
Among the six northeastern states, Borno remains the epicentre of insurgent activity.
The state’s geography, large forests, sparsely populated villages and porous international borders have long provided opportunities for militant groups to operate.
Several rural communities have reported attacks in recent months.
Residents report that armed fighters frequently launch sudden attacks, specifically targeting villages with limited security presence.
For Bukar Madu, the attack on his community came late at night.
“We heard gunshots, and people started shouting,” he recalled.
“Everyone was trying to escape.”
According to him, several families fled to nearby bushes, while others sought refuge in neighbouring towns.
Some residents have since relocated to camps for displaced individuals.
Local leaders say attacks like this disrupt not only community life but also agriculture.
Farming remains the primary source of income for many rural households.
When farmers cannot safely reach their fields, entire communities face economic hardship.
“If farmers are afraid to go to their land, the harvest will suffer,” Mr Madu said.
A Pattern of Renewed Insurgent Attacks
Security analysts say the recent attacks across parts of Borno suggest that insurgent groups are continuing to test the strength of security operations.
According to Ibrahim Usman, a security analyst who studies conflict dynamics in northern Nigeria, militant groups have become more flexible in their tactics.
“Instead of trying to hold territory, they now rely on mobility,” he said.
“They strike quickly and withdraw before security forces can respond.”
This strategy allows insurgents to maintain a presence even in areas where military operations have improved security conditions.
Usman said insurgent networks often use forest corridors and rural routes to move between communities.
“These movements make it difficult to eliminate their activities,” he explained.
Yobe: Living With the Fear of Uncertainty
Neighbour Yobe State has experienced fewer large-scale attacks than Borno, but insecurity remains a concern in several rural areas.
Residents report occasional sightings of armed groups moving through nearby forests.
Although such sightings do not always lead to attacks, they create anxiety among communities that still remember the years of violence.
For traders who travel between villages, uncertainty about security conditions has become a constant challenge.
Bukar Madu, who also trades agricultural goods in parts of Yobe, said people now avoid travelling at night.
“Most people try to return home before evening,” he said.
“Nobody wants to be on the road if something happens.”
Security officials say patrols have increased in vulnerable areas.
However, the region’s vast rural terrain remains difficult to monitor.
Experts warn that insurgent groups sometimes exploit these landscapes to move undetected between locations, making it challenging for security forces to effectively respond to threats in these rural areas.
Bauchi: Banditry Expands Into Rural Communities
While insurgency dominates headlines in Borno and Yobe, Bauchi State has been facing a different security challenge.
Armed bandit groups have increasingly targeted villages in rural areas, particularly in the Alkaleri Local Government Area.
Residents say gunmen often arrive on motorcycles and raid communities at night.
The attacks usually involve looting livestock and food supplies before the assailants retreat into nearby forests.
For Musa Aliyu, a farmer displaced by one such attack, the violence came without warning.
“We heard gunshots, and people started shouting,” he said.
“Everyone ran into the bush to escape.”
Mr Aliyu said several families lost their homes and livestock.
Some residents have since moved to neighbouring communities.
Bandit attacks across northern Nigeria have displaced thousands of people in recent years.
Security experts say the spread of banditry into new areas poses a serious risk if not addressed quickly.
Humanitarian Pressure on Gombe
Although Gombe State has remained relatively peaceful compared with neighbouring states, it is increasingly experiencing the impacts of violence elsewhere.
Families fleeing attacks in Bauchi have crossed into Gombe seeking safety.
Host communities and temporary shelters are now accommodating displaced residents.
This invasion into the Gombe community has disrupted the lives of many in Kashere town, as the school being used to shelter the displaced persons has been shot, with many of their students now staying at home and at risk of going into drug abuse and other menaces.
For the displaced, it is a painful tale of not knowing when they will return home; it is particularly sad for the economy of the country, as many productive people are now staying idle, waiting for food and other support to stay afloat in life.
For Haruna Yakubu, a volunteer assisting displaced families, the situation is challenging.
“Many people arrived here with nothing,” he said.
“They left their homes suddenly and could not take anything with them.”
According to him, food, shelter and healthcare remain the most urgent needs.
Local authorities say they’re working with humanitarian organisations to assist displaced families.
However, the growing number of arrivals is placing pressure on limited resources, which may lead to inadequate support for displaced families in accessing essential services like food, shelter, and healthcare.
-
Education3 months agoDangote Launches Landmark ₦1 Trillion Scholarship Scheme to Support 1.3 Million Nigerian Students
-
Economy3 months agoNGX Ends Week in the Green as ₦1.54 Trillion Boosts Investors’ Fortunes
-
Column3 months agoFormal Rebuttal to the Recent Interview Granted by Retired Major General Ali Keffi on Arise TV
-
Gombe3 months agoGombe Shines Again, Ranks Second in Northeast at 2025 PHC Leadership Challenge
-
Politics3 months agoNSGF names Ezekiel Gomos as Director-General, setting stage for stronger regional collaboration
-
Economy3 months agoCBN’s End to Cash Withdrawal Limit
-
Latest News3 months agoAnglican Church Expands Footprint with 15 New Dioceses, Total Hits 176
-
Latest News3 months agoAssault Fallout: Inuwa Yahaya Sacks Four Aides, Reaffirms Zero Tolerance for Violence
