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Iran, Beware the Fangs of January, the Scourge of February, and the Ides of March
Iran, Beware the Fangs of January, the Scourge of February, and the Ides of March
By Hassan Gimba (1)
The Arbiter
A few days ago, I woke in the night, anxious and checking the news, half-expecting America and Israel to have attacked Iran.
Given this tension, the central issue is the longstanding American-Israeli effort to destabilize Iran. Even though it cannot be exhausted in one article, I’d like you to come along as we look over the underlying hostility, the motives behind American and Israeli actions, and why both countries believe only a fractured, weakened Iran will serve their interests.
Talk of de-escalation and the apparent lowering of tensions is largely superficial. America—the dog—and Israel—the tail that wags it—will never rest until they see a Balkanized Iran; regime change to install a malleable monarchy is just a ruse. It’s the first step to Iran’s destruction, but first, the people must be tricked into thinking they will have a new government.
The tag team of Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu will not be satisfied with merely installing a malleable regime, because they represent a concept whose custodians plan in decades and think in centuries. As long as Iran remains intact, a future “antagonistic” government could replace their pliable proxy—and that is unacceptable to them. What they aspire to is a shattered Iran, fragmented and at odds with itself.
America wants to neutralize Iran in order to limit China’s growing influence and weaken Russia. Iran currently acts as a buffer and supplies vital energy resources to China. For Israel, Iran obstructs its ambition for a so-called “Greater Israel.” Aware of Iran’s strength and resilience, Netanyahu has worked relentlessly to push America into confronting Iran on his country’s behalf.
China now sources almost all its oil from Iran, with Venezuela no longer a viable alternative. Should America succeed in cutting off Iran’s crude oil exports to China, the Land of the Dragon would lose a critical fuel supply that sustains its economy. Without it, China’s economic stability could face significant threats.
For these reasons, America and Israel—long-time Siamese twins with converging interests—have kept Iran in their sights. During the recent periods of unrest, Iran accused the CIA and Mossad of fomenting it, and both countries reportedly contemplated military action “to save Iranians” with the protests as an excuse. Following events in Venezuela involving Nicolás Maduro, Trump even considered a “limited” and “targeted” strike on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Although he publicly declared America to be “locked and loaded,” several factors restrained his actions.
One such factor was Iran’s disruption of internet services and the jamming of Elon Musk’s Starlink system, rendering GPS unreliable. The absence of satellite navigation and insider support could hinder the effective operation of American and Israeli aircraft and missiles, making them susceptible to easy neutralisation.
Another deterrent was Iran’s acquisition of advanced weaponry from China and Russia, as well as the testing of its own Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM). This proved Iran could hit back, raising the risk of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD), recalling the Cold War.
There was also palpable fear in Tel Aviv. After Iranian missiles inflicted significant damage during the 12-day conflict last June, Netanyahu’s aircraft—the Wing of Zion—was reportedly flown to Crete, Greece, with some commentators suggesting he was on board. Israel was unprepared for a direct military confrontation with Iran, goading America, instead, into it. Instead, it favored indirect tactics, including fomenting internal unrest.
Reports indicate that most Gulf states, with the exception of the UAE, informed America that they would not permit the use of their bases for an attack on Iran. Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, also urged Trump to avoid military action.
These factors collectively compelled Trump to pause. Initially, he remarked that “they have stopped shooting people,” later adding that “they have stopped the killing of about 800 people,” the majority of whom were reportedly American and Israeli operatives.
Still, Iran must punish lawbreakers according to its laws—just as America, Israel, and all sovereign nations committed to the rule of law do. Failing to act would only embolden the saboteurs and invite other unpatriotic citizens to commit more destabilizing acts.
History is replete with examples of nations weakened by impunity. In Nigeria, people often forgive or even treat Boko Haram members and bandits better than their victims. Perpetrators are “rehabilitated,” while those who lost homes and loved ones are rarely compensated.
That is the civilian reality. Imagine the fate of soldiers, police, and security agents. I remember a harrowing video of a woman in Maiduguri, Borno State, accused—despite her denials—of being a DSS agent, brutally beheaded by Boko Haram. It was devastating.
But to appreciate the long-term planning of the concept the duo of Trump and Netanyahu represent, consider the recent “escape” of about 3,000 ISIS detainees from prisons run by American-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in Syria and America’s reported attempt to relocate another 7,000 ISIS prisoners to Iraq, which borders Iran. This could be interpreted as laying the groundwork for a future proxy force to destabilize Iran and push for regime change or fragmentation.
Meanwhile, Trump, who claimed he wanted to help Iranians, recently warned that he would destroy the people if anything happened to him. He remarked, “If anything happens, they’re going to wipe [Iran] off the face of the earth,” and “I’ve left a notification for that.”
Neither Trump nor his ally, Netanyahu, backed down due to a desire for peace. Trump still wants to strike Iran because it is what Netanyahu seeks. Military action remains firmly on the table. They may not have been ready before, but preparations are clearly underway. US carrier groups, fighter jets, and command units—what Trump called “the Armada”—are moving closer, assembling enough firepower for air, sea, cyber, and special-forces operations designed to prevent Iran from mounting an adequate response. However, it could also be a show of force meant to intimidate Iran not to pass judgement on the 800 arrested agents.
However, US activist Calla Walsh captured their mindset succinctly when she said, “Israel (and America) doesn’t need you to like Israel; it only needs you to support them in destroying Iran.”
Others echo this warning, urging the Persians to remain vigilant, as these Siamese twin warmongers appear eager to strike—whether through the fangs of January, the scourge of February, or, at the latest, the ides of March.
Beyond open warfare, covert operations and crushing sanctions aimed to make Iranians suffer economically and so rise against their government; they want to isolate Iran globally. However, despite repeated provocations from both parties urging Iran to fire the first salvo, Iran has resisted taking the bait, remaining consistent with its policy of avoiding war. Yet its leaders have vowed to retaliate decisively if attacked.
The Foreign Ministry stated that Iran is prepared to respond “with everything we have.” President Masoud Pezeshkian warned on X that any American attack would provoke a “severe and regret-inducing” response. Yahya Rahim Safavi, adviser to Imam Khamenei, declared, “We are preparing for the final battle with Israel,” stressing that “we are in a war phase” with no ceasefire or agreements in place.
Major General Mohammad Pakpour, head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), reinforced the point Thursday, saying Iranian forces “have their hands on the trigger” and warned against miscalculation, citing lessons from June.
Next, we will examine the choices available for both sides and how a military confrontation might unfold. It is worth noting that Israel reportedly contemplated the use of nuclear weapons in its last war with Iran—a doctrine known as the Samson Option. Should such an incident occur, Israel would become only the second nation, after the United States in Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945, to deploy atomic weapons in warfare.
Lest I Forget
What is wrong with our politicians that they almost always fail the test of trust, or ‘amana,’ in Hausa? People who were literally licking the feet of governors turn against them the moment the governors elevate them to that seat.
God willing, we will examine how Governor Mai Mala Buni of Yobe State and Vice President Kashim Shettima are exceptional in maintaining trust and remaining loyal to their predecessors.
Hassan Gimba is the publisher and CEO of Neptune Prime.
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Yobe Police Arrest Four Suspected Drug Dealers, Recover Tramadol, Other Illicit Substances
Yobe Police Arrest Four Suspected Drug Dealers, Recover Tramadol, Other Illicit Substances
By Njadvara Musa, Damaturu
The Yobe State Police Command has arrested four suspected drug dealers during a raid on a notorious criminal hideout in the Kolere community, Fune Local Government Area of the state.
The operation also recovered dozens of tramadol capsules and other illicit substances as part of intensified efforts to tackle crime and drug-related activities across the state.
The spokesperson of the command, Dungus Abdulkarim, disclosed the information in a statement issued on Thursday in Damaturu.
According to him, the police have continued to record progress in ongoing operations targeting criminal gangs and drug peddlers operating within communities in the state.
He explained that operatives attached to the Area Command in Potiskum carried out a coordinated raid on May 6, 2026, at about 3:00 p.m. The raid took place at Borno Kichi market in Kolere village, which is allegedly being used as a hideout by criminal elements involved in drug trafficking and other unlawful activities.
The police spokesperson identified the suspects as Nafizu Adamu, 25; Babale Idi, 25; Shuaibu Mohammed, 35; and Shuaibu Musa, 22.
He said the suspects were arrested while in possession of several prohibited substances, including tramadol capsules, assorted hard drug tablets, Indian hemp, and a rubber solution commonly known as “Sholi”.
According to the statement, all four suspects are residents of Kolere Village in Fune Local Government Area.
The Commissioner of Police in the state, Usman Kanfani Jibrin, commended the operatives for the successful operation and urged officers across the state to sustain the ongoing crackdown against criminal syndicates and drug-related crimes.
The police commissioner also warned individuals involved in unlawful activities to desist or face the full weight of the law.
He added that investigations are ongoing and that authorities would charge the suspects in court upon completion of the investigation.
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Sokoto: Encomiums For Aliyu’s Health Impact
Sokoto: Encomiums For Aliyu’s Health Impact
By Shuaibu Abubakar
It’s not everyday that international development partners openly pour encomiums on a Nigerian leader. This rare fit is reserved for leaders who made the conscious efforts to put the health of the people first, and where the impact is almost instant. In this situation, the people begin to live again, as once comatose hospitals come back to life. Health facilities that once existed only in name begin to experience a transformation never before believed possible.
That is the quiet revolution unfolding in Sokoto State under Governor Ahmad Aliyu and that’s why he has been receiving commendations from international organisations. In Sokoto, what used to be a grim landscape of dilapidated structures, absent personnel, and empty wards is gradually giving way to something more reassuring. We now have functional hospitals that inspire confidence, and primary healthcare centres that now serve as genuine first points of care that people can trust and rely on.
Unlike the Sokoto of yesterday, where many public health facilities had become shadows of their intended purpose. Where health facilities stood, but healthcare was nonexistent. Where equipment was scarce, and where available, often obsolete. Where health workers were either too few or unevenly distributed, leaving rural communities especially vulnerable. The result, under such circumstances was a predictable system that could neither prevent nor respond effectively to health challenges, particularly among women and children, where the grim numbers piled up.
Today, that narrative is being rewritten through deliberate policy choices anchored on the state government’s 9-SMART agenda on health. It is this framework that is driving a coordinated push not just to renovate structures, but to revive an entire system. And unlike the selective interventions of the past, this one is beginning to show signs of depth and sustainability.
One of the most telling indicators of this shift is the growing confidence of development partners in the state’s health sector. Institutions such as National Primary Health Care Development Agency (NPHCDA), World Health Organization (WHO), UNICEF, Solina Group, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), and African Field Epidemiology Network have not only taken note, they have openly commended the state’s commitment to healthcare reform.
Such endorsements are not handed out lightly. They are often the result of measurable actions. They are an endorsement of infrastructure upgrades, improved funding for immunisation programmes, and a clearer policy direction. In the case of Sokoto, these efforts appear to be converging in a way that signals seriousness of purpose.
This commitment was further underscored during the 8th Sokoto State Government Council on Health Meeting that brought together a high-level policymakers, development partners, and health sector stakeholders. The meeting was a working session aimed at positioning the state at the forefront of efforts to accelerate Universal Health Coverage (UHC) in Nigeria.
While it was organised by the State Ministry of Health, it was the collaboration with the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) that made the meeting which provided a platform to review progress and refine strategies under the health component of the 9-SMART Innovation Agenda for significant. The emphasis, in the end, was clearly to strengthen primary healthcare, improve service delivery, and ensure that even the most vulnerable populations are not left behind.
And it was also at this meeting that one of the most significant announcements was made. UNFPA committed over ₦4.6 billion in funding for healthcare delivery in 2026. Beyond the headline figure, however, was an initiative that speaks directly to one of Nigeria’s most persistent health challenges; maternal and child mortality.
Through a newly unveiled Community Midwifery Scholarship and Bonding Scheme, 500 young women from hard-to-reach communities will receive full scholarships to study midwifery. According to UNFPA’s Assistant Representative, Audu Alayande, 250 beneficiaries will be trained this year, with another 250 to follow next year. Upon completion, they will be deployed directly to rural primary healthcare centres. The government confirm that these health workers will be at their rural posting for at least two years after graduation.
This is more than a training programme; it is a targeted intervention designed to bridge a critical gap, the shortage of skilled birth attendants in underserved areas. By linking training to deployment, the scheme avoids a common pitfall where trained personnel cluster in urban centres, leaving rural communities exposed.
Complementing this is the state government’s own effort to address workforce shortages. Governor Aliyu has confirmed the recruitment and deployment of over 1,500 nurses and midwives to underserved communities. This move is backed by a two-year mandatory rural posting policy, designed to ensure a more equitable distribution of healthcare workers across the state.
Policies like this often face resistance, especially from health workers who prefer urban posting, but they are necessary in contexts where urban bias has long undermined rural healthcare delivery. To make the policy workable, the state has introduced incentives aimed at encouraging compliance. The idea behind this initiative is an acknowledgment that policy must be matched with practical support.
Beyond personnel, the state is also investing in essential medical supplies. The distribution of sexual, reproductive, and other essential drugs to all 23 local government areas is a critical step in addressing maternal and child health challenges. These supplies have been targeted at high-burden primary healthcare centres, where the need is most acute.
The involvement of the First Lady, Fatima Aliyu, in this aspect of the intervention adds another layer of visibility and advocacy, particularly around issues affecting women and children. While symbolism alone cannot drive change, it often helps sustain attention on critical social issues, especially in communities where awareness can be as important as access.
Taken together, these efforts point to a government that is not merely reacting to health challenges but attempting to anticipate and systematically address them. The focus on primary healthcare is especially significant. Globally, strong primary healthcare systems are the backbone of effective health delivery, serving as the first line of defence against disease and the foundation for achieving Universal Health Coverage.
Of course, it is still early days. Healthcare reform is a long-term endeavour, and sustaining momentum will require consistency in funding, monitoring, and policy execution. The gains recorded so far must be protected from the familiar pitfalls of political transitions and bureaucratic inertia. This is where the people of Sokoto must make a statement at the polls, and return Gov. Aliyu for another term.
But for now, there is enough evidence to suggest that Sokoto State is moving in a direction that prioritises people over optics. The transformation of once-neglected facilities into centres of hope, the deliberate investment in human resources, and the strategic partnerships with global health institutions all point to a model that, if sustained, could redefine healthcare delivery in the state.
Clearly, this is a signal that the state government remains fully committed to the protection of women and children. And in a country where healthcare often competes with other priorities, Aliyu’s commitment is not just commendable, it is necessary. Yet, everything crumbles if he’s not re-elected. The people of Sokoto clearly have their jobs cut out for them. Vote for continuity and progress, or return to the days of ghost healthcare. The choice is theirs!
Abubakar writes from Sokoto.
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APC Picks Ex- KEDCO Gwamna as Consensus Candidate for 2027 Gombe Governorship Race
APC Picks Ex- KEDCO Gwamna as Consensus Candidate for 2027 Gombe Governorship Race
By Auwal Ahmad Umar
The All Progressives Congress (APC) in Gombe State has settled for Dr Jamilu Ishiyaku Gwamna, a former Managing Director of Kano Electricity Distribution Company (KEDCO), as its consensus governorship candidate for the 2027 general election.
The decision was reached at an expanded stakeholders’ meeting held on Sunday and presided over by the party leader in the state and governor of Gombe, Muhammadu Inuwa Yahaya.
Party insiders said the meeting, which drew participation from key stakeholders, including party executives and elected officials, unanimously endorsed Gwamna as the party’s preferred flagbearer ahead of the polls.
The gathering also ratified consensus candidates for other key positions, including the three senatorial districts, six House of Representatives seats and all 24 State House of Assembly constituencies.
As part of the resolutions, Governor Yahaya was endorsed for the Gombe North Senatorial District, while DCP Ahmed Jarman Deba emerged for Gombe Central. Hon. Jerry Damara was adopted for Gombe South Senatorial District.
For the House of Representatives, the party selected Hon. Fatima Binta Bello for Kaltungo/Shongom, Hon. Ali Isa JC for Billiri/Balanga, and Hon. Sadam Bello for Gombe/Kwami/Funakaye. Hon. Jamilu Shabewa was picked for Dukku/Nafada, Inuwa Garba for Yamaltu/Deba, and Hon. Usman Bello Kumo for Akko Federal Constituency.
However, notable political figures were absent from the meeting. Those not in attendance included the minister of transport, Sa’idu Ahmad Alkali, and the former minister of communications and digital economy, Isa Ali Ibrahim Pantami, both of whom are believed to be aspirants for the governorship seat, as well as Senator Muhammad Danjuma Goje, who currently represents the Gombe Central Senatorial District.
Their absence has fuelled political speculation within party circles, with observers suggesting it may reflect ongoing consultations and differing interests ahead of the party’s final alignments.
Party sources, however, maintained that the consensus arrangement was designed to strengthen unity and minimise internal disputes, noting that consultations were still ongoing to ensure inclusivity across all blocs of the APC in the state.
The move signals an early consolidation strategy by the ruling party as it prepares for what is expected to be a competitive 2027 electoral contest in Gombe State.
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